AUD/USD off two-month lows on revised RBA rate expectations - lewisfromastlese
AUD/USD continued its recoil from last Friday's two-calendar month low happening Tuesday, equally market expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Depository financial institution of Australia were pushed vertebral column to November from a insurance policy meeting next workweek. Additional funding for the Aussie came with improving risk thought crossways a range of markets.
Yesterday Westpac analysts revised their RBA rate projection, noting that easing measures bequeath presumptive be introduced in November.
"Media reports downplaying an October RBA move are just too hard to dismiss," Prashant Newnaha, Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities, said.
"In our view the principal benefit the RBA would obtain from waiting till (November) would be clarity on Union and State budgets to service information technology calibrate its QE program."
Lag, grocery focus straight off sets on the first U.S. presidential election debate betwixt Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden, scheduled at 1:00 GMT connected Wednesday.
"If the debate puts Outflank along the back foot and Biden keeps his lead, I think it could lead people to release of their dollars," Daisuke Karakama, chief market economist at Mizuho Bank, said.
"The dollar market has been broadly bottoming out from low prices since mid-Sep. The question is what would be the trend in October."
The U.S. Dollar slipped from a ii-calendar month high against John Major peers, registered last Friday, and was elfin changed at 94.26 on Tuesday.
As of 6:54 GMT on Tuesday AUD/USD was edging up 0.33% to trade at 0.7092, after earlier touching an intraday high of 0.7096, or a level not seen since September 23rd (0.7177). The major pair has retreated 3.90% so far in September, favourable five consecutive months of gains.
On today's scheme calendar, at 13:15 GMT Federal Book President for New York St. John the Apostle Williams is to provide keynote remarks at the 2022 US Treasury Market Conference webinar via webcast.
At 13:30 GMT Federal Reserve System President for Philadelphia Patrick Harker is expected to speak at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning via webcast.
And a monthly describe aside the Conference Board research chemical group at 14:00 Greenwich Mean Time may show self-assurance among America consumers improved in Sep. The respective gauge probably rose to a level of 89.5 in September, according to market expectations, from 84.8 in August.
Tie Give in Spread
The spread betwixt 2-year Australian and 2-year US bond yields, which reflects the flow of funds in a short term, equaled 5.0 footing points (0.050%) arsenic of 6:15 GMT on Tuesday, up from 3.9 basis points on September 28th.
Daily Pivot Levels (time-honored method of calculation)
Central Pivot – 0.7057
R1 – 0.7086
R2 – 0.7103
R3 – 0.7132
R4 – 0.7160
S1 – 0.7040
S2 – 0.7011
S3 – 0.6994
S4 – 0.6977
Source: https://www.tradingpedia.com/2020/09/29/forex-market-aud-usd-rebounds-from-a-two-month-low-as-rba-rate-cut-expectations-now-pushed-back-to-november/
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